Editor's note: WPR's Jonah Chester, Joe Schulz and Andrea Anderson contributed reporting to this story. "In 2016, they were almost all wrong and Ron Johnson pulled off the biggest surprise in Wisconsin Political History," said the statement. Senator Ron Johnson 's support appears to be slipping with Wisconsin voters entering the closing months of the state's midterm elections, a new poll says. Johnson and Barnes spent much of their first televised debate, held on Friday, discussing abortion and crime. IE 11 is not supported. On Jan. 9, he announced a run for a third term, stating his decision to do so was based on a belief that "America is in peril. Marquette polled 801 registered voters via phone interviews from Oct. 3-9 (652 of those are considered likely voters), with more than half of the interviews coming before last Friday's debate. President Joe Biden then won Wisconsin in 2020 by the same margin, although he received a slightly higher overall percentage of the votes. "Barnes is really going to have to execute a strong strategy of defining himself positively and pushing back against an enormous amount of negative campaigning that is already coming his way and will surely only escalate between now and Election Day," Chergosky said. The Republicans in both races hold a lead among independent voters, with Michels squeaking out a 1 point lead (44 percent to Evers 43) and Johnson dominating with 51 percent to Barnes 45. Sign up now! The three Democrats, who had endorsed Barnes after they had. Ron Johnson Dramatically Underperforms in First Finance Report Since Announcing for Reelection - Lt. Gov. Governor Mandela Barnes, left and US Senator Ron Johnson participate in the senate debate co-hosted by Marquette University and TMJ4 at Marquette University's Varsity Theatre at 1326 W.. Tommy's Lounge, a vital lifeline to former forces personnel. Caitlin Yilek is a politics reporter for CBS News Digital. Mandela Barnes during a debate on Oct. 7. Now, it's Barnes who is relatively unknown among Wisconsin voters. Meanwhile, 7 percent said they did not know who they would vote for, while 3 percent said they would vote for someone else, would not vote or refused to answer. AP Photo/Mike Roemer. In the September survey, Johnsons lead among that group was 48% to 46%. With 98 percent of votes counted, AP results showed Johnson defeating Barnes 50.5 percent to 49.5 percent. Lt. Incumbent Republican Sen. Ron Johnson is widening the gap over his Democratic challenger, Mandela Barnes, in Wisconsin's Senate race, a new poll from Marquette Law School found. Morry Gash/Associated Press More from Yorkshire Post. Ron Johnson and Mandela Barnes in tight Senate race in Wisconsin CBS News Battleground Tracker poll. We want to bring transparency to the elections process by shining a light on how campaigns and outside groups are using political mailers to talk to voters. Notably, Barnes, 35, would become the first Black senator ever elected from Wisconsin if he manages to defeat Johnson, 67. "I do believe that this time truth has prevailed over the lies, over the character assassination," Johnson said. At the beginning of the election cycle, Johnson was seen as one of the most vulnerable Republican incumbents in the U.S. Senate. He said clerks have been legally free to interpret the term in good faith, drawing on non-binding guidance from the Wisconsin Elections Commission, its predecessors and advice from attorneys. Timothy Nerozzi is a writer for Fox News Digital. Mandela Barnes concedes US Senate race to Republican incumbent Ron Johnson, Sarah Godlewski exits Democratic US Senate primary, clearing the path for Mandela Barnes, After clearing Democratic field in US Senate Race, Mandela Barnes faces toughest battle of political career, Evers proposes $750M for broadband expansion amid massive federal investment in high-speed internet, Evers proposes $3.8B in state building projects. Approximately 50% of likely voters said they support Johnson in the race, compared to 48% for Barnes, according to the Marquette poll of 679 likely voters. The lieutenant governor and former State Assembly member is expected to face a difficult campaign as he seeks to unseat Johnson, who has served in the Senate since 2011. Mandela Barnes, is the choice of 48%. Sign up for notifications from Insider! Ukraine News. Johnson struck a somber note when reflecting on the closeness of his race. Sen. Ron Johnson and Democratic challenger Mandela Barnes side by side. Republican gubernatorial nominee Tim Michels led Democratic Gov. Heres how you can help. "Of course, we've said that before," Chergosky said. Lt. Gov. Mandela Barnes is maintaining a slight edge over Republican U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson just more than two months from the November election. Johnson was also significantly underwater with 47 percent of voters expressing an unfavorable opinion of the senator and 38 percent saying they had a favorable opinion. Sen. Ron Johnson and Democratic challenger Mandela Barnes side by side. ", Sen. Ron Johnson, R-Wis., speaks to supporters after arriving at an election night party in Neenah, Wis., Tuesday, Nov. 8, 2022. Mandela Barnes, the lieutenant governor of . Anthony Chergosky is an associate professor of political science at UW-La Crosse. Mandela Barnes, CBS News is projecting Johnson the winner. Sen. Ron Johnson is leading Democratic challenger Mandela Barnes in a new poll of the Wisconsin Senate race released Wednesday. Wisconsin GOP Sen. Ron Johnson defeated Democratic Lt. Gov. According to OpenSecrets, Johnson raised $31.5 million, spent $28 million, and had $3.5 million in cash on hand, as of October 19. Union rep: Employees reporting illness after working on cleanup for East School culture wars fuel top House GOP bill, Watch live: White House monkeypox response team holds briefing, Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information. In 2020, now-President Joe Biden won Wisconsin by roughly 20,000 votes out of nearly 3.3 million ballots cast. Show us your political mailers! Home; News. This race is over," Johnson said in the statement. Poll: Ron Johnson widens lead over Mandela Barnes in Wisconsin Senate race The Marquette Law School survey has Johnson racking up support of 52 percent of likely voters compared with. The registered voter sample has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.6 percentage points. For an optimal experience visit our site on another browser. Barnes, who in 2018 was elected as lieutenant governor on a ticket with Democratic Gov. Republican U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson has won reelection to a third term, narrowly defeating Democratic Lt. Gov. Democrat Russ Feingold held the seat now occupied by Johnson from 1993 until he was defeated by the Republican in 2010. Legal Statement. Fox News's Bradford Betz contributed to this report. Johnson is running for reelection to a third term, while Barnes hopes to topple the GOP. Johnson has long been known as a polarizing and controversial figure in politics who made headlines for pushing drugs like hydroxychloroquine and ivermectin as early treatment options during the COVID-19 pandemic. Above left, Johnson departs from the Senate chambers on July 21. It was all to play for Thursday night as Republican U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson met Democratic challenger, Lt. Gov. Johnson had built a small lead in most polls over Barnes though within the margin of error after he began his relentless focus on crime, and his victory suggests the strategy was a success. Powered and implemented by FactSet Digital Solutions. 2023 FOX News Network, LLC. The. But despite the ex-senator leading in most public polling that year, he went on to narrowly lose to Johnson once again. IE 11 is not supported. He said residents should also expect "a new low" in terms of how negative campaign ads will be this election cycle. 33. Johnson has compared the rioters to tourists and during a presentation to Milwaukee Rotary Club in early October, Johnson said calling the attack an armed insurrection is inaccurate. "There is no path mathematically for Lt. Gov. Lasry, Mandela's next leading opponent in the Democratic senate primary, does not beat Johnson in a head to head. Barnes' lead was within the polls' 2.9 percent margin of error. Republican U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson has won reelection to a third term, narrowly defeating Democratic Lt. Gov. The crowd in Neenah cheered to life again when Johnson took the stage just after 1 a.m. or redistributed. At Johnson's election night watch party in Neenah, the crowd was in high spirits throughout the evening giving loud cheers as they watched Fox News election coverage of the race. (Last month, the Republican-controlled state Legislatureblocked initial effortsto get that question on the ballot.). Hungry? The nonpartisan Cook Political Report rates both the Senate and gubernatorial races as toss-ups. The latest Marquette Law School poll also found the race for governor has tightened in the pivotal battleground state. New York City Mayor Dismisses Separation Of Church And State,Despite his vow to uphold the U.S. Constitution, Eric Adams said he "can't separate" his Christian beliefs from his public duties. Business; Politics; Military; Elections; Law; Immigration; Technology. THE HILL 1625 K STREET, NW SUITE 900 WASHINGTON DC 20006 | 202-628-8500 TEL | 202-628-8503 FAX. Recent polling shows Lt. Gov. Throughout the 2022 campaign cycle, Marquette polling showed a majority of respondents in Wisconsin had a negative view of Johnson. Johnson has said he supports an abortion ban that includes exceptions for rape, incest and the life of the mother, but has not called for the Legislature to change the states 1849 law. Mandela Barnes in the U.S. Senate race, according to two new polls. While Johnson has outperformed . Mandela Barnes concedes US Senate race to Republican incumbent Ron Johnson, Evers has a slight lead over Michels in Wisconsin governor's race, per Marquette Law School poll, Ron Johnson calls for annual approval of Social Security, Medicare funding, Mandela Barnes to Milwaukee Rotary: Ron Johnson is a 'threat to the stability of this country', La Crosse Sheriff's captain denies endorsing Mandela Barnes in US Senate race, Madison Common Council eases limits on unrelated people renting homes together, From grocery store shelves to restaurant menus, food prices 10 percent higher than a year ago, Report: Inflation Reduction Act could bring over 24K jobs to Wisconsin over next decade, Evers proposes $750M for broadband expansion amid massive federal investment in high-speed internet, Evers proposes $3.8B in state building projects, Landowners sue Lac du Flambeau tribal leaders to reopen roads blocked for a month, Supreme Court candidate Janet Protasiewicz says she'd recuse herself in cases involving state Democratic Party, State lawmakers try again to allow DACA recipients to become police officers in Wisconsin, Dairy groups call new federal guidance for labeling plant-based milk alternatives a 'double-edged sword', Wisconsin Educational Communications Board. Wisconsin Lt. Gov. Those results weren't far off from a Marquette University Law School poll on Aug. 17, showing Barnes beating Johnson 51 percent to 44 percent among likely midterm voters. Yorkshire Post. Quotes displayed in real-time or delayed by at least 15 minutes. I want to thank my family and everyone who supported me and worked so hard to save this U.S. Senate seat. An older poll, conducted last September by Clarity Campaign Labs for Barnes' campaign, showed the Democrat tied with Johnson. But a successful rebrand, as well as unrelenting attacks against Barnes on crime and criminal justice issues, appeared to help Johnson's standing among voters. defeated former Democratic U.S. Sen. Russ Feingold, Democratic Lt. Gov. In the Senate, Johnson serves on the Foreign Relations Committee, the Budget Committee, the Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs Committee, and the Commerce Committee. Johnson has downplayed the violent insurrection at the U.S. Capitol that day on Jan. 6, where Trump supporters assaulted Capitol police officers as they tried to stop Congress from certifying President Joe Biden's 2020 victory. Michels may have made gains among likely independent voters from September's poll, with 44% now saying they supported him and 43% saying they supported Evers. Lt. Gov. The Johnson campaign said the numbers were reflective of a race that was correcting course after Democrats cleared a path for Barnes before the ends of a largely clean primary campaign. The Oshkosh Republican led Barnes, a Democrat, 51% to 46% among likely voters in a poll commissioned by AARP. Democrats won or held onto key seats, including John Fettermans win over Republican Mehmet Oz in Pennsylvania. Eran Ben-Porath contributed to this report. In the June poll released by Marquette Law School testing each candidate's strength against Johnson, Barnes hits or approaches those benchmarks, while Lasry falls far short of the numbers needed . National media reports say the red wave that Republicans hoped for in this years midterm elections has been downgraded to more of a trickle. Tony Evers, sought to portray Johnson as a champion of monied interests and pledged to work with lawmakers to enact policies that would benefit working-class families, including an expansion of the child tax credit. This race is over.. Republican U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson and Democratic challenger Lt. Gov. In 2016, Johnson stunned political observers when he defeated former Democratic U.S. Sen. Russ Feingold after Marquette polling in late August showed Feingold ahead by 4 percentage points. One percent of respondents said they would vote for neither candidate and 1% said they were undecided. He trails narrowly among White voters, getting a similar share of them that Biden got in 2020. State Treasurer Sarah Godlewski followed suit on Friday, saying that the Democratic Party should be united going into the election. But Evers' approval rating remains above water. Mandela Barnes is maintaining a slight edge over Republican U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson just more than two months from the November election. Tony Evers, 46 percent back Republican challenger Tim Michels, and 4 percent support independent Joan Belinger. In early October, Barnes launched a "Ron Against Roe" tour of Wisconsin to highlight Johnson's longtime support for national abortion bans. The senator has been tied to the fake elector scheme, which is being investigated by the U.S. Department of Justice, after text messages came to light showing Johnson's office tried to get slates of fake electoral ballots from Wisconsin and Michigan to former Vice President Mike Pence on Jan. 6, 2021. Among those citing integrity as most important, Barnes won 54% of the vote, while among those saying a candidate who shares values with them is most important, 60% voted for Johnson. "He's not in a place, in terms of his favorability and unfavorability numbers, where an incumbent senator would want to be," Chergosky said. Johnson's win reaffirmed the Wisconsin GOP's strength in its suburban and exurban heartlands. Johnson also holds a 2-point lead over Barnes in favorability ratings among likely voters, with 46 percent saying they have a favorable opinion of the Republican and 44 percent saying the same. Adam Edelman is a political reporter for NBC News. Most young men are single. Although Wisconsin's primary won't take place until August 9, Barnes, who was already leading in the polls, is all but guaranteed to secure the Democratic nomination. Sen. Ron Johnson is leading Democratic challenger Mandela Barnes in a new poll of the Wisconsin Senate race released Wednesday. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed. NBC News projects Sen. Ron Johnson of Wisconsin wins re-election, unrelenting attacks against Barnes on crime. Barnes sought. Mutual Fund and ETF data provided by Refinitiv Lipper. Why is there a long line of railcars parked on the tracks near Spooner? Johnson maintained a conservative voting record during his two terms in the Senate. FOX NEWS POLL: POLARIZATION DEFINES THE MIDTERM ELECTION. Ninety-three percent of Democrats support Barnes and 96 percent of Republicans support Johnson, while 96 percent of Democrats support Evers and 88 percent of Republicans support Michels. Lt. Gov. In Wisconsin 's Senate race between Republican Sen. Ron Johnson and Democratic Lt. Gov. Mandela Barnes speaks at a rally for Jacob Blake Jr., who was paralyzed in a police shooting last year, in Kenosha, Wis. Barnes is leading in the Democratic primary to replace Republican Sen. Ron Johnson. Develop That poll surveyed 756 likely voters, with a margin of error of plus or minus 3.6 points. Mandela Barnes offers his state's votes to nominate former Vice President Joe Biden as the Democratic nominee for president at the 2020 Democratic National Convention at the . Wisconsin Republican Sen. Ron Johnson and Lt. Gov. Ron Johnson and Mandela Barnes in tight Senate race in Wisconsin CBS News Battleground Tracker poll. The bill passed 80-15 with many Democrats and all but one Republican voting "yes." Mandela Barnes joined radical Democrats like David Bowen and Jonathan Brostoff in refusing to protect cops, public defenders, and prosecutors, and their family members. Mandela Barnes, CBS News is projecting Johnson the winner. Johnson got a boost from voters' concerns about crime and economic issues, while Barnes had strong support from voters who saw abortion as one of the top issues. Wisconsin Lt. Gov. Powered and implemented by FactSet Digital Solutions. The Marquette Law Poll was conducted from Oct. 24 to Nov. 1 via landline and cell phone. And, that's a little depressing, isn't it? Johnson promised to be a "citizen legislator" and serve just two terms. We will wait and see what the Wisconsin voters have decided after all their voices are heard," the statement said. As Johnson opened a lead, it sent the Republican incumbent's supporters into a frenzy. Johnson built a small lead in most polls over Barnes though within the margin of error after he began relentlessly focusing on crime, and his victory suggests the strategy worked. 2022 #WISen General Election Poll: Mandela Barnes (D) 43% Ron Johnson (R-Inc) 43% @claritycampaign / @TheOtherMandela (D) Internal ~ 756 LV ~ 9/8-9/11 https://t.co/OXfsRBbJJX "The votes are in," Johnson said in an email. Legal Statement. "But what I will say, unfortunately, it's still so close. Johnson has outperformed polls before, but political experts note added challenges this election cycle. A spokesperson for Johnson's campaign told Wisconsin Public Radio they "don't put much stock in public polls.". Barnes did not officially concede the race Tuesday night or Wednesday morning as he waited for all the votes to be counted. In 2016, Trump secured just 46.5 percent of Wisconsin's votes. On two large screens, the audience at the Johnson event quietly watched Fox News election coverage and let out loud groans and boos when Democrats were projected to win other high-profile federal races. It's looking all but certain that Wisconsin Lieutenant Governor Mandela Barnes will be the Democratic opponent to take on the much-maligned Wisconsin Senator Ron Johnson in November. 4:12. Barnes has a 51%-44% lead over Johnson in the Wisconsin Senate race, per a new Marquette Law poll. Wisconsin GOP Sen. Ron Johnson defeated Democratic Lt. Gov. Democrats had initially been hopeful that they could oust Johnson, who was increasingly defined by headlines over his statements on issues such as abortion, his perpetuation of dubious and unproven Covid treatments, and his ties to the Jan. 6 riot and fake elector plot to help throw the 2020 election to then-President Donald Trump. 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Just more than 3 percent of those surveyed were undecided. as well as other partner offers and accept our. The U.S. Senate race in the battleground state of Wisconsin is among closely watched contests on the national scene as Republicans hoped to gain seats in the U.S. House and Senate. Besides Mandela and Ron, Gov Tony Evers, a nominee from the Democratic Party, and . Trump successfully chilled FBI from being willing to investigate anything Bill Maher: I am afraid of Trump on a very personal level, The Memo: Lightfoot is latest Democrat to fall to anger over crime, Trumps polling strength causes heartburn for Senate GOP, The shepherd boy, the wolf and the threat to Israeli democracy. | Morry Gash/Associated Press. An older poll, conducted last September by Clarity Campaign Labs for Barnes' campaign, showed the Democrat tied with Johnson. After midnight, the gap between Barnes and Johnson closed slightly and the audience in Neenah became less energetic. 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